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The main keynote of "Do not live in real estate" has not stabilized. The real estate market is a big trend.

来源: 证券时报 2019-12-23 10: 33: 14Source: Securities Times

On the evening of December 19, a message that "Shenzhen's second-hand housing rose 5% can be complained" suddenly spread throughout the circle of friends. Sources said that the annual increase of second-hand housing cannot exceed 5%. If the increase in second-hand housing significantly exceeds the recent transaction price, citizens can complain to the district real estate authority. The news suddenly exploded, everyone talked about it, and some netizens commented:

"Sell your own house, but the price is high? Your own house, the price can not be your own decision." Late that night, the Shenzhen Housing and Urban Construction Bureau denied this statement, thinking that it was purely misinterpretation by the media.

Subsequently, the official Wechat of the Housing and Construction Bureau stated that the annual increase of 5% of the price index is a city-wide comprehensive indicator. Because of different conditions such as location and supporting facilities, the increase in real estate prices will vary. Therefore, as long as the owner is not maliciously colluding to drive up house prices and conduct transactions in accordance with normal market order, which is not significantly higher than the recent market transaction price, his transaction behavior can proceed normally. Regarding where the 5% increase is determined to come from, the bureau explained that in accordance with the requirements of the long-term mechanism of macro-control, Shenzhen had already set a target of not exceeding 5% of the annual growth rate of second-hand housing at the beginning of the year. The annual increase of second-hand housing does not exceed 5%, which is the limit of increase stipulated by the long-term mechanism in 2019. The reason for Shenzhen's restriction on online signing for related real estate this time is not only because the increase has exceeded 5%, but also because some owners maliciously colluded and collectively raised the listing price, undermining public order and customs, and violating the central government's "Do not live in real estate" Positioning disrupts normal real estate order.

The Bureau of Housing and Urban-Rural Development's paper originated from the recent incident of the "joint speculation" of second-hand housing owners. A few days ago, some owners in Shenzhen collectively controlled the market and raised prices, which caused some real estate prices to rise sharply, jumping 300,000 overnight, and rising 3 million in half a month. More owners have followed the pattern of cover-up speculation, and WeChat group alliances have jointly raised prices, even saying that "there will be no trade without price increases." The two-level departments in the urban area of Shenzhen's housing construction system have been continuously issued circulars to severely crack down by suspending online signing and verifying illegal blacklisting.

In the industry's opinion, the emergence of a magical trading model that caused the owners to control the price increase and the WeChat group alliance may be related to a series of favorable policies recently issued by the Shenzhen property market. Recent policy changes in the Shenzhen property market have been interpreted by some as a factor that favors housing prices. In particular, after the adjustment of the "luxury line" standard, the second-hand housing market in Shenzhen was hot, and housing prices in some communities jumped. In fact, some intermediary personnel reported that the Shenzhen second-hand housing market was indeed very hot in November, and the number of house-viewing had increased significantly, and buyers were making decisions faster than before. Miss Wang, who lives in Futian District, Shenzhen, also confirmed this phenomenon. She released her own house for sale half a year ago. The number of people who have seen the house has increased significantly in the past month. Considering that the current market situation is good, Miss Wang gave her a house. The price increased by 150,000. In the evening of the day, a buyer decided to pay a deposit to buy the house. On the second day, after listening to the suggestions of friends around her, Miss Wang felt a little regretful, and felt that the price seemed to be selling a little low. Unlike Miss Wang, more owners began to "sell the sale." Intermediaries told reporters that due to the market environment, many owners have recently reclaimed their houses, hoping to "sell for price." The situation has also led to a large number of occupants but a small number of houses available for purchase, and the price increase is obvious. "The previous inventory was sold out quickly, but now there are fewer listings."

The intermediary also told reporters that when Shenzhen's newly-needed customers bought a house, they mostly held an investment mentality and tended to buy areas with greater appreciation space. When customers just need to buy an apartment with an investment mentality, the property market is more like a stock market, and prices are rising in the bullish mentality of people. In the second half of this year, favorable policies of the Shenzhen property market came out frequently. The phenomenon of "crowdfunding to buy a house" and "joint buying of a house" appeared in the first two years. "Crowdfunding is not complicated to buy a house, that is, a few friends make up the down payment, and are ready for monthly funding of about two years. Everyone signs a contract to buy a house in the name of one of them. Out, profits are divided according to the proportion of capital contribution. "The contract must also consider the factors of stagnation in house prices. If at some point, the increase in house prices is still not high, it must be thrown out. The joint real estate speculation is even more extreme. It is directly a "private house". Some strong investors in Shenzhen will hold a group. After optimistic about a new real estate, they negotiate with the developer to contract the entire building at a certain price, keeping themselves slow. Sell slowly.

In fact, at present, the main tone of "housing and living without speculation" has not changed. Some of the real estate in Shenzhen is only a few cases, and the national real estate market still has a significant cooling trend. In the 2019 Central Economic Work Conference held recently, it has repeatedly emphasized the positioning of “no housing and speculation” for real estate. Although fine-tuning has occurred in some cities recently, the overall principles remain unchanged. The central government's determination to curb rising house prices will not change. In the future, two-way regulation will be the means, and the stable real estate market is the general trend. Relevant experts remind home buyers to be rational and beware of some speculators using the policy guise to wantonly raise property appreciation expectations.

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